Emmy Predictions: Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

The 70th Primetime Emmy Awards nominations will be announced on Thursday, July 12th. As always, chime in below in the comments with any thoughts of your own.

Last year’s nominees: Louie Anderson, Alec Baldwin, Tituss Burgess, Ty Burrell, Tony Hale, Matt Walsh

The competition: Count out two of last year’s nominees, Hale and Walsh, since their show isn’t coming back for its final run until next season. Of the four who could return, winner Alec Baldwin (Saturday Night Live) is the surest thing given the political climate and his portrayal of the current commander-in-chief. Louie Anderson (Baskets), who won two years ago, is probable but hardly guaranteed given the under-the-radar nature of his show. Tituss Burgess (Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt) and Ty Burrell (Modern Family) are both still likely, but their shows are preparing for their swan songs and receiving considerably less acclaim than they used to. Jeffrey Tambor (Arrested Development) is on the ballot here but not in the lead category for “Transparent,” which could earn him some votes thanks to his previous two nominations for this role, though recent allegations will probably prevent that. Another previously nominated costar, Will Arnett (Arrested Development), could earn a spot, as could Tony Hale (Arrested Development), a two-time winner for “Veep” who might earn votes for a different show. Expect Sean Hayes (Will and Grace) to pick up his eighth nomination thanks to his series’ return. Three-time winner Tony Shalhoub (The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel) is a good bet for a very different post-“Monk” role, and SAG nominee Marc Maron (GLOW) may also join the list as a freshman series representative, as could Henry Winkler (Barry). Other possibilities include Brian Tyree Henry (Atlanta), Kumail Nanjiani (Silicon Valley), Laurence Fishburne (Black-ish), and Walton Goggins (Vice Principals).

The predicted nominees: Anderson, Baldwin, Burgess, Hayes, Henry, Shalhoub

The predicted winner: I think that Hayes manages to take it.

Next up: Best Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series