SAG Winner Predictions: Television Categories

I expect to see a general repeat of the victories we’ve been seeing a lot of this season. Paul Giammati and Laura Linney are almost guaranteed to win the mini-series or TV movie categories for their performances in “John Adams.” In the comedy categories, I see no reason why last year’s winners Alec Baldwin (30 Rock), Tina Fey (30 Rock), and the ensemble cast of The Office shouldn’t repeat. No one else in the categories has remotely any buzz. New nominees David Duchovny (Californication) and out-of-left-field Tracey Ullman (State of the Union) are unlikely to garner enough support for a win. Similarly, no cast works together as cohesively as that of “The Office.” The drama categories are a bit tougher to predict, since only Hugh Laurie has ever won a SAG award out of all the nominees in all three categories. Last year, departing series “The Sopranos” swept. This year, I think the highly popular and as-of-yet-unrewarded Mad Men should find itself with twin victories, for best ensemble and star Jon Hamm. In the drama actress category, I’m just taking a guess, but maybe Kyra Sedgwick (The Closer)? She’s never won a SAG, and they gave Jennifer Garner a trophy for “Alias” a few years into the show. Even though the show has far less buzz these days, that doesn’t mean it’s not her time.

Note: This year, I won’t be watching the SAG Awards because they’re not being shown in Italy.

Winner Predictions:
Best Actor in a Miniseries or TV Movie: Paul Giammati
Best Actress in a Miniseries or TV Movie: Laura Linney
Best Actor in a Drama Series: Jon Hamm
Best Actress in a Drama Series: Kyra Sedgwick
Best Actor in a Comedy Series: Alec Baldwin
Best Actress in a Comedy Series: Tina Fey
Best Ensemble in a Drama Series: Mad Men
Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series: 30 Rock