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Contenders are listed in the order I think they’re likely to get nominated. The first ten represent my predictions for the top ten run-off, with the first five as my predictions for the eventual nominees.
I believe that only “Mad Men” is a lock, even though it would be the first non-HBO cable show nominated in this category. “House” and “Grey’s Anatomy” are still popular and chose episodes that should appeal to what fans love about them. “Damages”, “The Closer”, and “Dexter” are also non-HBO cable shows that should benefit from impressive episode submissions and critical raves. I hope that “Boston Legal” won’t return, especially with a submission that’s far more comic than last year’s more dramatic episode. “Lost” will suffer from the need to have seen every episode of the show to appreciate it. I think that “Friday Night Lights” should round out the top ten but won’t be able to crack the top five. Watch out for cable shows with positive buzz like “The Tudors”, “Big Love”, “The Wire” and “Battlestar Galactica” to have a shot at breaking through. I think this is going to be an important year for cable shows, but the groundbreaking honors will go to “Mad Men”, “Damages”, and “The Closer”. I expect some major surprises in the top ten.
Current predicted winner: Mad Men
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