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Contenders are listed in the order I think they’re likely to get nominated. The first ten represent my predictions for the top ten run-off, with the first five as my predictions for the eventual nominees.
The top five seems pretty obvious here too, with differentiation potential depending, more or less, on how desperate each of the housewives is. Tina Fey is on fire, Julia-Louis Dreyfus should manage to stick it out even though she and her show are awful, Christina Applegate benefits from being on a new show which is popular and fun, and I doubt that voters will soon forget about “Ugly Betty” (and America Ferrera submitted fairly well). I’m really hoping that Mary-Louise Parker can get nominated for her stellar work this year on “Weeds”, but other predictors seem uncertain about her chances. Truth be told, she’s only been nominated once, and it feels way too soon for her to drop off altogether. Sadly, I know that it’s not how the Emmys work. I still think she’ll make it in over the likes of Felicity Huffman, who had all dramatic plotlines this year. Marcia Cross comes next and may well have a shot, especially since she wasn’t really in last season and now has a chance to come back with more interesting and concrete plotlines (though not enough for my tastes). Hatcher should make the top ten but definitely won’t get nominated. Anna Friel of “Pushing Daisies” will have to hope for some good luck, but it might happen. And I certainly hope that voters will be smart enough to realize that, while Patricia Heaton can be considered a good actress, “Back to You” sucked big time. A lot of Judy Greer fans are hoping that she’ll make the top ten for “Miss/Guided”, but I think she’ll just miss out, and I do have faith that she’ll get another, better shot some time soon. And yes, I do have Miley Cyrus in there at #14. Quite honestly, though, there are only 16 real contenders in this field, and the only one I left off was Joely Fisher on “’Til Death”.
Current predicted winner: Tina Fey
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