Showing posts with label SAG Awards. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SAG Awards. Show all posts

Saturday, February 25, 2023

SAG Winner Predictions

The Screen Actors Guild Awards will be handed out tomorrow night. Check out my winner predictions over at FilmFactual!

Wednesday, January 11, 2023

SAG Nominations Announced

Screen Actors Guild Award nominations have been announced. Check out my breakdown of the nominations over at FilmFactual!

Tuesday, January 10, 2023

SAG Predictions

Screen Actors Guild Award nominations come tomorrow. Check out my predictions over at FilmFactual!

Friday, February 25, 2022

SAG Winner Predictions: Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series

The competition: The Great, Hacks, The Kominsky Method, Only Murders in the Building, Ted Lasso

For your information: Unlike the corresponding drama race, this category has three returning nominees and two freshmen. “The Kominsky Method” is back for its third and final season, with star Michael Douglas nominated. While Nicholas Hoult was the only cast member from “The Great” cited last year, this year it’s just Elle Fanning. Jean Smart is the lone representative from “Hacks,” while both Steve Martin and Martin Short are up for “Only Murders in the Building.” Way ahead is “Ted Lasso” with four individual bids, for Jason Sudeikis, Brett Goldstein, Juno Temple, and Hannah Waddingham.

Who should win? I think this list is fantastic. While I absolutely wouldn’t mind seeing “Ted Lasso” or “Hacks” win since they’re both very deserving, “The Great” is my absolute top choice.

Who will win? With the possible exception of a “Hacks” upset, Ted Lasso has this in the bag.

SAG Winner Predictions: Best Ensemble in a Drama Series

The competition: The Handmaid’s Tale, The Morning Show, Squid Game, Succession, Yellowstone

For your information: While only “Squid Game” is a freshman series, the only returning nominee in this category is “The Handmaid’s Tale,” which earns its fourth overall nomination after it took last year off the air. It has one performer nominated, while “Squid Game” has two, “The Morning Show” has three, and “Succession” has four. Only “CSI” managed to win this prize, in 2004, with no performers singled out, which is the situation for “Yellowstone” this year. Repeat winners are very common. “Squid Game” is the first non-English series nominated in this category.

Who should win? I haven’t watched “Yellowstone” since the pilot and didn’t finish “Squid Game.” While it’s taken me a while to come around to it, I do think “Succession” is the right choice here, though “The Handmaid’s Tale” would still be a solid choice.

Who will win? It could be “Squid Game,” but I’m sticking with Succession.

Thursday, February 24, 2022

SAG Winner Predictions: Best Female Actor in a Miniseries or Made-for-TV Movie

The competition: Jennifer Coolidge (The White Lotus), Cynthia Erivo (Genius: Aretha), Margaret Qualley (Maid), Jean Smart (Mare of Easttown), Kate Winslet (Mare of Easttown)

For your information: Erivo was nominated for her role in “Harriet.” Qualley contended as part of the “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” ensemble. Smart was up as part of the “24” cast in 2006 and has another individual nomination this year for her performance in “Hacks,” as well as being nominated with its ensemble. Winslet has nine previous individual bids, which led to wins for “Sense and Sensibility,” “The Reader,” and “Mildred Pierce.” She earned three additional ensemble bids. Of the many times that two performers from one project have been nominated together, only once has one of them triumphed, when Drew Barrymore defeated costar Jessica Lange for “Grey Gardens” in 2008. When more than two performers were up from one project, it led on all three occasions to one of them winning, not that it’s the case this year.

Who should win? I didn’t watch all of Erivo or Qualley’s work. Coolidge was a delight and Smart was entertaining, but I think I’d probably give this to Winslet.

Who will win? It could be Coolidge or even Qualley, but Winslet feels like the safest bet.

SAG Winner Predictions: Best Male Actor in a Miniseries or Made-for-TV Movie

The competition: Murray Bartlett (The White Lotus), Oscar Isaac (Scenes from a Marriage), Michael Keaton (Dopesick), Ewan McGregor (Halston), Evan Peters (Mare of Easttown)

For your information: Keaton is a three-time ensemble winner, for “The Trial of the Chicago 7,” “Spotlight,” and “Birdman.” The latter also netted him an individual nomination, as did “The Company” in this category in 2007. McGregor has three previous ensemble bids, for “Little Voice,” “Moulin Rouge,” and “August: Osage County.” This is the first nomination for Bartlett, Isaac, and Peters. Five supporting actors have won this prize in this category’s twenty-six-year history. McGregor and Peters both won Emmys but weren’t up against any of these men, while Keaton triumphed over Isaac at the Golden Globes.

Who should win? I didn’t finish Isaac and Keaton’s shows. I think I’d vote for Bartlett just because he was so entertaining, but McGregor and Peters were also both terrific.

Who will win? I give the edge to Keaton over McGregor, but any of them are possible.

SAG Winner Predictions: Best Female Actor in a Comedy Series

The competition: Elle Fanning (The Great), Sandra Oh (The Chair), Jean Smart (Hacks), Juno Temple (Ted Lasso), Hannah Waddingham (Ted Lasso)

For your information: This is not the first SAG nomination for any of these actresses, but it is the first for these roles. Fanning, Temple, and Waddingham were all nominated as part of their ensembles for their shows’ first seasons last year, and Fanning has an additional previous bid for the “Trumbo” cast back in 2015. Smart was up as part of the “24” cast in 2006 and has another nomination this year for her performance in “Mare of Easttown.” Oh has won two individual prizes, for “Killing Eve” and “Grey’s Anatomy,” and two ensemble wins, for “Sideways” and “Grey’s Anatomy,” with two additional bids for the latter. All but Oh are also nominated as part of their ensembles. Supporting actresses have won this prize eleven times in twenty-six years. Out of ten times that two women from the same show have contended for this prize, only twice did it lead to a win, in 2018 for Rachel Brosnahan and last year for Catherine O’Hara. Waddingham beat Temple at the Emmys for season one of her show, and Smart won the lead actress prize.

Who should win? This is a terrific list. I’d love to see Fanning win but everyone else would be great too.

Who will win? I think Smart should be able to win this.

SAG Winner Predictions: Best Male Actor in a Comedy Series

The competition: Michael Douglas (The Kominsky Method), Brett Goldstein (Ted Lasso), Steve Martin (Only Murders in the Building), Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building), Jason Sudeikis (Ted Lasso)

For your information: Sudeikis is the only returning nominee from last and also the defending champion. Douglas was nominated for his show’s two previous seasons and is back after its hiatus, and he has a previous win, for “Behind the Candelabra” in 2013, as well as an ensemble prize for “Traffic.” This is the first nomination for the other three, and all five also contend as members of their ensemble. Supporting actors have won this prize seven times in twenty-six years. This category adores repeat winners: between 2001 and 2020, only six different men triumphed. Just two of them – Ty Burrell and Jeffrey Tambor – were one-off winners, while Tony Shalhoub won for two years in a row twice for two separate shows and Alec Baldwin won seven times in a row. Two nominees from one show is a very frequent occurrence, but only twice in the history of this category has it led to one of those men winning – David Hyde Pierce in 1995 and Robert Downey Jr. in 2000. More importantly, this is the fifth time that two shows have earned double nominations, and that has always led to a different performer without fellow costars cited winning. At the Emmys, Sudeikis beat Douglas, and Goldstein won a supporting prize. Neither Martin or Short were eligible.

Who should win? This is a really great list, and anyone winning would make me happy. I’m not sure I have a favorite.

Who will win? While statistics would indicate that Douglas is the one to beat, and I do think it’s possible he could win, I imagine that Sudeikis has enough unquestionable support to net a second consecutive victory.

SAG Winner Predictions: Best Female Actor in a Drama Series

The competition: Jennifer Aniston (The Morning Show), Jung Ho-yeon (Squid Game), Elisabeth Moss (The Handmaid’s Tale), Sarah Snook (Succession), Reese Witherspoon (The Morning Show)

For your information: Aniston won this prize on her last nomination for season one of this show. She has three additional previous nominations. Her costar Witherspoon has three previous nominations, with one win, for “Walk the Line” in 2005. This is Moss’ fourth nomination for this role, and she has three additional bids, for “Mad Men” and “Top of the Lake.” This category has had multiple nominees from a single series on many occasions, often leading to a victory for one of those actresses. Ho-Yeon is the first actor from a non-English show to be nominated in this category. All three represented series also have their ensembles nominated.

Who should win? Witherspoon actually impressed me quite a bit this season, and Snook would also be a good choice.

Who will win? It feels like Snook may actually be likeliest to win this.

SAG Winner Predictions: Best Male Actor in a Drama Series

The competition: Brian Cox (Succession), Billy Crudup (The Morning Show), Kieran Culkin (Succession), Lee Jung-jae (Squid Game), Jeremy Strong (Succession)

For your information: The only returning nominee is Crudup, who was nominated for his show’s first season alongside costar Steve Carell. Cox was nominated in 2000 for his role in “Nuremberg.” This is the first individual nomination for everyone else, though Culkin was previously nominated for being part of the ensemble from “The Cider House Rules” and Strong won that prize last year as part of the cast from “The Trial of the Chicago 7.” At the Emmys, Crudup won for season one of his show and Strong beat Cox for season two of their series. This category has seen two nominees from a single show before but never three. Jung-jae is the first actor from a non-English show to be nominated in this category. All three represented series also have their ensembles nominated.

Who should win? It’s a good list, even if I wish more shows were represented. I would probably choose Culkin.

Who will win? While Jung-jae could benefit from a vote split, I think Strong continues his awards run.

Wednesday, January 12, 2022

SAG Nominations

SAG nominations are here! You'll find my film category-by-category coverage already up at MoviesWithAbe.com, and for a full analysis of all the TV categories, head to The Film Experience, where I've looked at all the races in one post.

Monday, January 10, 2022

SAG Predictions: Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series

Last year’s nominees: Dead to Me, The Flight Attendant, The Great, Schitt’s Creek, Ted Lasso

Two of last year’s nominees are eligible again, and I imagine they’ll be back: The Great and Ted Lasso. The Kominsky Method was nominated for both of its previous season, and Black-ish, Curb Your Enthusiasm, and Brooklyn Nine-Nine have been cited in the past. Likely new additions this year include Hacks, Only Murders in the Building, Reservation Dogs, What We Do in the Shadows, Insecure, And Just Like That, and Cobra Kai.

Current predictions:
The Great
Hacks
The Kominsky Method
Reservation Dogs
Ted Lasso

SAG Predictions: Best Ensemble in a Drama Series

Last year’s nominees: Better Call Saul, Bridgerton, The Crown, Lovecraft Country, Ozark

None of these shows is eligible this year, and there are exactly two shows that have been nominated before that are still on. The Handmaid’s Tale is pretty much a sure thing given that it was cited for all three of its previous seasons. This Is Us, which won two years in a row and then wasn’t nominated again, should return but it’s not guaranteed. It’s hard to believe that Succession wasn’t nominated for seasons one or two, but that should change this year. The Morning Show was also an unexpected snub for season one, but its three individual cast nominations suggest it will show up this time. Pose wasn’t nominated for seasons one or two, but its third and final season may be when it finally gets recognized. New and popular international shows Squid Game and Lupin may have a shot, as could a new Showtime series with a superb ensemble, Yellowjackets.

Current predictions:
The Handmaid’s Tale
The Morning Show
Pose
Squid Game
Succession

SAG Predictions: Best Female Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series

Last year’s nominees: Cate Blanchett (Mrs. America), Michaela Coel (I May Destroy You), Nicole Kidman (The Undoing), Anya Taylor-Joy (The Queen’s Gambit), Kerry Washington (Little Fires Everywhere)

The best place to start is with the actors who earned Emmy nominations this past season for series from 2021. That list includes Kate Winslet (Mare of Easttown), Cynthia Erivo (Genius: Aretha), Julianne Nicholson (Mare of Easttown), and Jean Smart (Mare of Easttown). Others options who weren’t nominated include Thuso Mbedu (The Underground Railroad) and Danielle Brooks (Robin Roberts Presents: Mahalia). New possibilities are led by Margaret Qualley (Maid), Jessica Chastain (Scenes from a Marriage), Andie MacDowell (Maid), Jennifer Coolidge (The White Lotus), Kaitlyn Dever (Dopesick), and Melissa McCarthy (Nine Perfect Strangers).

Current predictions:
Jessica Chastain (Scenes from a Marriage)
Jennifer Coolidge (The White Lotus)
Cynthia Erivo (Genius: Aretha)
Margaret Qualley (Maid)
Kate Winslet (Mare of Easttown)

SAG Predictions: Best Male Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series

Last year’s nominees: Bill Camp (The Queen’s Gambit), Daveed Diggs (Hamilton), Hugh Grant (The Undoing), Ethan Hawke (The Good Lord Bird), Mark Ruffalo (I Know This Much Is True)

The best place to start is with the actors who earned Emmy nominations this past season for series from 2021. That short list includes Paul Bettany (WandaVision), Ewan McGregor (Halston), and Evan Peters (Mare of Easttown). Others options who weren’t nominated include William Jackson Harper (The Underground Railroad), Courtney B. Vance (Genius: Aretha), Tahar Rahim (The Serpent), Olly Alexander (It’s a Sin), and Joel Edgerton (The Underground Railroad). New contenders from the second half of the year are led by Michael Keaton (Dopesick), Oscar Isaac (Scenes from a Marriage), Murray Bartlett (The White Lotus), Clive Owen (American Crime Story: Impeachment), Paul Rudd (The Shrink Next Door), and Joshua Jackson (Dr. Death).

Current predictions:
Murray Bartlett (The White Lotus)
Oscar Isaac (Scenes from a Marriage)
Michael Keaton (Dopesick)
Ewan McGregor (Halston)
Evan Peters (Mare of Easttown)

Sunday, January 9, 2022

SAG Predictions: Best Female Actor in a Comedy Series

Last year’s nominees: Christina Applegate (Dead to Me), Linda Cardellini (Dead to Me), Kaley Cuoco (The Flight Attendant), Annie Murphy (Schitt’s Creek), Catherine O’Hara (Schitt’s Creek)

None of last year’s nominees are eligible again, which should hopefully make room for someone who should have been nominated last year, Elle Fanning (The Great). Past nominees Lily Tomlin (Grace and Frankie) and Jane Fonda (Grace and Frankie) are probably eligible this year for the four episodes their show aired, but that’s it for previously-honored comediennes. She’s never been nominated by SAG outside the ensemble race, but Tracee Ellis Ross (Black-ish) might earn her first bid now. The same goes for Issa Rae (Insecure), whose show has now finished its run. New options include Jean Smart (Hacks), Hannah Einbinder (Hacks), Selena Gomez (Only Murders in the Building), Sandra Oh (The Chair), Renee Elise Goldsberry (Girls5eva), Hannah Waddingham (Ted Lasso), and Juno Temple (Ted Lasso). There’s also Sarah Jessica Parker (And Just Like That), who earned four nominations and one win two decades ago for the same role on “Sex and the City.”

Current predictions:
Hannah Einbinder (Hacks)
Elle Fanning (The Great)
Issa Rae (Insecure)
Jean Smart (Hacks)
Hannah Waddingham (Ted Lasso)

SAG Predictions: Best Male Actor in a Comedy Series

Last year’s nominees: Nicholas Hoult (The Great), Dan Levy (Schitt’s Creek), Eugene Levy (Schitt’s Creek), Jason Sudeikis (Ted Lasso), Ramy Youssef (Ramy)

Two of last year’s nominees are eligible this time around, and it’s a good bet they’ll be back: Nicholas Hoult (The Great) and Jason Sudeikis (Ted Lasso). While I’d love to see a few of the former’s costars here too, I think it’s much more likely that we’ll get Brett Goldstein (Ted Lasso), who could also be joined by any of the three men nominated with him at the Emmys. Michael Douglas (The Kominsky Method) is a good bet since he was a nominee for his show’s first two seasons, and he could be joined by a handful of past nominees who are eligible: Anthony Anderson (Black-ish), Larry David (Curb Your Enthusiasm), and William H. Macy (Shameless). Kenan Thompson (Kenan) was an Emmy nominee, and Matt Barry (What We Do in the Shadows) and Kayvan Novak (What We Do in the Shadows) could benefit from enthusiasm from that awards body for the previous season of that show. Steve Martin (Only Murders in the Building) and Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building), both cited by the Golden Globes and Critics Choice Association, seem like good bets.

Current predictions:
Michael Douglas (The Kominsky Method)
Nicholas Hoult (The Great)
Steve Martin (Only Murders in the Building)
Jason Sudeikis (Ted Lasso)
Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building)

SAG Predictions: Best Female Actor in a Drama Series

Last year’s nominees: Gillian Anderson (The Crown), Olivia Colman (The Crown), Emma Corrin (The Crown), Julia Garner (Ozark), Laura Linney (Ozark)

This category is set for a major overhaul. After just two shows were represented last year, exactly two past nominees are eligible this time around: Elisabeth Moss (The Handmaid’s Tale), who received three consecutive bids previously and shouldn’t be in danger of a snub even if Emmy voters did that to her, and Jennifer Aniston (The Morning Show), who won this prize for her show’s first season. Their Emmy-nominated and otherwise beloved costars might join them, including Ann Dowd (The Handmaid’s Tale), Yvonne Strahovski (The Handmaid’s Tale), Samira Wiley (The Handmaid’s Tale), Reese Witherspoon (The Morning Show), and Julianna Margulies (The Morning Show). Recent Emmy and Golden Globe choices that could repeat here are Sarah Snook (Succession), Michaela Jae Rodriguez (Pose), Uzo Aduba (In Treatment), and Christine Baranski (The Good Fight). A Critics Choice pick that would be wonderful is Melanie Lynskey (Yellowjackets), but SAG voters don’t always embrace shows during their first seasons.

Current predictions:
Uzo Aduba (In Treatment)
Jennifer Aniston (The Morning Show)
Elisabeth Moss (The Handmaid’s Tale)
Michaela Jae Rodriguez (Pose)
Sarah Snook (Succession)

SAG Predictions: Best Male Actor in a Drama Series

Last year’s nominees: Jason Bateman (Ozark), Sterling K. Brown (This Is Us), Josh O’Connor (The Crown), Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul), Regé-Jean Page (Bridgerton)

Only one of last year’s nominees is eligible, and that’s Sterling K. Brown (This Is Us), who is hoping for his sixth consecutive nomination. It’s also important this year to look back at past nominees who are once again eligible, like Billy Crudup (The Morning Show), who seems like a sure thing, and Steve Carell (The Morning Show), who might be replaced by his Emmy- and Golden Globe-nominated costar Mark Duplass (The Morning Show) but could still show up even with such a reduced role in season two. There’s also Joseph Fiennes (The Handmaid’s Tale), cited for the show’s second season back in 2018 and who could return for season four now. It’s entirely possible that five men from one of TV’s most popular show could populate this list even though none have before. In order of possibility, expect to see Jeremy Strong (Succession), Brian Cox (Succession), Matthew Macfadyen (Succession), Kieran Culkin (Succession), and Nicolas Braun (Succession). This could also be the first nomination for Emmy winner Billy Porter (Pose), for the third season of his show. The Golden Globes selected Lee Jung-jae (Squid Game), O Yeong-su (Squid Game), and Omar Sy (Lupin), who would represent a breakthrough here as foreign-language nominees but seem possible. I’d love to see Tom Hiddleston (Loki) show up, and Michael C. Hall (Dexter: New Blood) could return for a role that previously earned him six nominations and one win.

Current predictions:
Sterling K. Brown (This Is Us)
Brian Cox (Succession)
Billy Crudup (The Morning Show)
Billy Porter (Pose)
Jeremy Strong (Succession)