Thursday, February 24, 2022

SAG Winner Predictions: Best Male Actor in a Comedy Series

The competition: Michael Douglas (The Kominsky Method), Brett Goldstein (Ted Lasso), Steve Martin (Only Murders in the Building), Martin Short (Only Murders in the Building), Jason Sudeikis (Ted Lasso)

For your information: Sudeikis is the only returning nominee from last and also the defending champion. Douglas was nominated for his show’s two previous seasons and is back after its hiatus, and he has a previous win, for “Behind the Candelabra” in 2013, as well as an ensemble prize for “Traffic.” This is the first nomination for the other three, and all five also contend as members of their ensemble. Supporting actors have won this prize seven times in twenty-six years. This category adores repeat winners: between 2001 and 2020, only six different men triumphed. Just two of them – Ty Burrell and Jeffrey Tambor – were one-off winners, while Tony Shalhoub won for two years in a row twice for two separate shows and Alec Baldwin won seven times in a row. Two nominees from one show is a very frequent occurrence, but only twice in the history of this category has it led to one of those men winning – David Hyde Pierce in 1995 and Robert Downey Jr. in 2000. More importantly, this is the fifth time that two shows have earned double nominations, and that has always led to a different performer without fellow costars cited winning. At the Emmys, Sudeikis beat Douglas, and Goldstein won a supporting prize. Neither Martin or Short were eligible.

Who should win? This is a really great list, and anyone winning would make me happy. I’m not sure I have a favorite.

Who will win? While statistics would indicate that Douglas is the one to beat, and I do think it’s possible he could win, I imagine that Sudeikis has enough unquestionable support to net a second consecutive victory.

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