Wednesday, January 23, 2019

SAG Winner Predictions: Best Female Actor in a Miniseries or Made-for-TV Movie

The competition: Amy Adams’ disturbed reporter (Sharp Objects), Patricia Arquette’s duplicitous prison employee (Escape at Dannemora), Patricia Clarkson’s domineering mother (Sharp Objects), Penelope Cruz’s fashion designer (The Assassination of Gianni Versace), and Emma Stone’s troubled test subject (Maniac).

For your information: Both Adams and Stone are also nominated this year in the film supporting actress race. Adams has four previous solo film nominations, for “Junebug,” “Doubt,” “The Fighter,” and “Arrival,” plus ensemble bids for the middle two and a win for “American Hustle” in 2013. Stone won for her individual role in “La La Land” in 2016, also with ensemble wins for “The Help” in 2011 and “Birdman” in 2014, along with a solo nomination for the latter. Arquette won in 2014 for her supporting role in “Boyhood,” along with an ensemble nomination for that film and one season of “Boardwalk Empire,” plus three individual bids for the TV series “Medium.” Clarkson was nominated for two different films in 2003, “Pieces of April” and “The Station Agent,” and has picked up ensemble bids for the latter of those two, “The Green Mile,” and “Good Night, and Good Luck.” Cruz was nominated in 2006 for “Volver” and in 2008 for “Vicky Cristina Barcelona,” with an ensemble bid in 2009 for “Nine.” The first season of Cruz’s anthology series earned three acting bids and one win in 2016. Double nominees are actually quite common in this category, including two years (2003 and 2017) with only two projects total recognized, and someone occasionally wins, in all cases a leading actress rather than a supporting one. Clarkson beat Cruz, an Emmy nominee this past year, for the Globe and Critics’ Choice Award, while Arquette beat Adams at the Globes and they tied for the Critics’ Choice Award.

Who should win? I watched only the first episode of all of these except for Stone’s project, and I don’t have a particular favorite.

Who will win? I’ll pick double nominee and probable double winner Adams.

No comments: