Golden Globe Winner Predictions: Best Supporting Actor in a Television Series

The competition:  
Alan Arkin (The Kominsky Method) plays Norman Newlander, a widower agent starting to date again in the second season of the Netflix comedy. Arkin won a Globe in 1966 in “The Russians Are Coming, The Russians Are Coming,” and has been nominated five times since, including last year for this role. His costar Michael Douglas is nominated, as is the show for Best TV Series – Comedy/Musical.

Kieran Culkin (Succession) plays Roman Roy, one of multiple children heir to a successful company, in the second season of the HBO drama. Culkin was nominated last year for this part, and previously nominated for his starring role in the film “Igby Goes Down” in 2002. After being the lone representative of his show last year, he is now joined by costar Brian Cox and his show in the Best TV Series – Drama category.

Andrew Scott (Fleabag) plays the hot priest in the second season of the Amazon comedy. This is Scott’s first Globe nomination. He wasn’t cited by Emmy voters despite their warm affection for the show in other categories. In addition to costar Phoebe Waller-Bridge, his show contends for Best TV Series – Comedy/Musical.

Stellan Skarsgard (Chernobyl) plays Boris Shcherbina, a Soviet crisis manager in HBO’s limited series. This is his first Globe nomination. In addition to costars Jared Harris and Emily Watson, his show contends for Best Limited Series or TV Movie.

Henry Winkler (Barry) plays Gene Cousineau, an acting teacher in the second season of the HBO comedy. Winkler won two Globes for “Happy Days” decades ago and has three other nominations, including a bid for this role this year. He won an Emmy for his work on the first season. His costar Bill Hader is also nominated, as is his show for Best TV Series – Comedy/Musical.

Additional notes: Three of these men were nominated last year, an unusual statistic in this catch-all race. This category is not consistent in rewarding dramas, comedies, miniseries, or TV movies, and all four regular series nominees are from sophomore series this year, which is rare.
Who should win? I haven’t seen any of season two of Culkin’s show, and only watched one episode of Skarsgard’s. Winkler is certainly good, and Arkin was great in what of I’ve seen of his show’s second season, but Scott is clearly the best choice here.
Who will win? I think Scott takes this.