Jerrod Carmichael as Various Characters, Saturday Night Live (Jerrod Carmichael / Gunna)
For the first time in a decade, Carmichael is the lone host nominated from the long-running variety series, which has offered up at least three nominees each year over the past three years. He’s also up for writing his variety special “Jerrod Carmichael: Rothaniel.” He does joke in his monologue that he’s the least famous person to ever host the show, but he also reveals a lot of heart and an eagerness to be all in for the sketches. His personality and likeability may help him, but I don’t know if that will be enough, especially considering the absence of fellow hosts in this race.
Bill Hader as Igor, Gregor, and Timor, Curb Your Enthusiasm (Igor, Grigor, and Timor)
Hader has an extensive Emmy record, with additional bids this year alone for starring in, producing, directing, and writing “Barry.” He has two wins for playing that part, as well as two previous nominations in this race for hosting “Saturday Night Live.” It’s good to have him here for this trio of performances since it makes this show not feel like just an add-on to the Best Comedy Series lineup. He truly commits to portraying three men with identical accents who claim not to be related, and a win for that feat would not be out of the question.
James Lance as Trent Crimm, Ted%20Lasso (Inverting the Pyramid of Success)
It’s fun to see the deadpan journalist who often gives Ted a hard time but in season two found a warmer relationship with him recognized here. This is Lance’s first Emmy nomination, and I think that, if he had been nominated last year, he might have had a chance at winning because of the show’s dominant popularity. But it’s not the most substantial role, and though Lance is good, I can’t see him winning.
Nathan Lane as Teddy Dimas, Only Murders in the Building (The Boy from 6B)
This is the seventh nomination for Lane, and interestingly, he’s only ever been cited for guest acting. With one bid for drama for “The Good Wife,” he’s also been mentioned for “Frasier,” “Mad About You,” and three times for “Modern Family.” I think he could finally win this time around for an entertaining turn that also includes some serious material with his onscreen son in his submitted episode. The show has been very well-received and Lane has been a solid recurring part of it.
Christopher McDonald as Marty Ghilain, Hacks (The One, The Only)
Like costar Carl Clemons-Hopkins, this mention for McDonald caught me by very pleasant surprise. McDonald has been working for decades and so rarely gets any recognition, so this is a nice treat. His role as Deb’s ex and rival Marty gives him plenty of snappy and amusing material, and he shows up a few times over the course of season two, including in his submitted episode, where he and Deb find themselves on more equal footing than usual. I can’t see him winning, but I also wouldn’t have expected him to get nominated in the first place either.
Sam Richardson as Edwin Afuko, Hacks (Midnight Train to Royston)
It’s good to see Richardson here, even if he really deserves accolades this season for his starring role in “The Afterparty.” But Richardson is doing something different with this turn, which finds him donning an accent and dialing up the ego to portray a wealthy man used to always getting his way. He could ride a wave of enthusiasm for his show and his other roles to a win, but I’m not sure that’s likely.
Who should win (based on entire season): N/A
Who should win (based on individual episodes): Lance or Hader
Who will win: It’s possible Carmichael or Hader could win, but I think Lane takes this.
Next up: Best Guest Actress in a Comedy Series
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