Tuesday, September 6, 2022

Emmy Winner Predictions: Best Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

Nominees are listed in alphabetical order. Submitted episode titles are in parentheses. Beware of minor spoilers for listed episodes.
Connie Britton as Nicole Mossbacher, Hacks (The Lotus Eaters
Britton has a strong Emmy history despite not yet having secured a win, earning bids for “Friday Night Lights,” “Nashville,” and “American Horror Story.” This character is particularly entitled and prickly, and while her fame could earn her votes, I don’t think she can take down a particular costar. Check out our interview here.

Jennifer Coolidge as Tanya McQuoid, The White Lotus (Mysterious Monkeys
This is the first Emmy nomination for Coolidge, who is the true standout of her show as the delightfully detached and excessive Tanya. She’s also the only regular cast member returning for season two, which says something given that it’s an anthology series that’s otherwise unconnected. She won the Hollywood Critics’ Association prize where she was up against a few of her costars, and now she’ll just have to contend with Kaitlyn Dever to see, like in the top categories, which of these two series prevails. Check out our interview here.

Alexandra Daddario as Rachel Patton, The White Lotus (Departures
This is Daddario’s first Emmy nomination for playing a new bride who starts to see that life with her husband isn’t what she thought it would be. Daddario has had a number of TV roles before, and it’s great to see her recognized for an involved turn. While I think she would be a great choice for the win, I don’t think her performance is an inherently comic as the others and it would be a true surprise. Check out our interviews here and here.

Kaitlyn Dever as Betsy Mallum, Dopesick (The Whistleblower)
It’s refreshing to see Dever nominated after she was previously passed over for her performance in “Unbelievable.” Her turn as an opioid-addicted West Virginia miner is intense and heartbreaking, and seeing how she begins stealing from her parents and experience withdrawal is a testament to Dever’s talents. She won the Hollywood Critics Association prize when she wasn’t in competition with Jennifer Coolidge, and it’s a question of whether voters will be in the mood to reward superb comedy or superb drama. Check out our interview here.

Natasha Rothwell as Belinda Lindsey, The White Lotus (Departures)
This is the first Emmy nomination for Rothwell, who has the least objectively funny role in her show as one of two main characters who aren’t resort guests but instead employees. Rothwell has some amazing material opposite Jennifer Coolidge and, in her submitted episode, gets to also interact with Alexandra Daddario, refusing to be a token Black voice of wisdom. Her nomination, however deserved, is a bit of a surprise, and it’s hard to imagine her beating out the much more humorous-leaning performances from her costars in this category. Check out our interview here.

Sydney Sweeney as Olivia Mossbacher, The White Lotus (Mysterious Monkeys)
Sweeney is a double nominee this year, also cited for her incredible performance in “Euphoria.” Comparatively, this turn doesn’t hold a candle, and I might have picked her onscreen best friend, Brittany O’Grady, one of just two series regulars from this show not nominated, over her. While she might get some votes because of fans of her other work, she’s also the youngest of the bunch with the least substantial role, so a win seems very out of the question. Check out our interview here.

Mare Winningham as Diane Mallum, Dopesick (Black Box Warning)
Winningham has been nominated seven times before, winning twice, both times in this category, in 1980 and 1998. For this role, which is a relatively small part, she’s up against her onscreen daughter, Kaitlyn Dever. While there is an emotional weight to her performance, particularly as she sees her daughter spiral through addiction and start stealing from her parents, it’s difficult to think that she could eclipse Dever, whose part is much bigger and more emphatic.

Who should win (based on entire season): Coolidge or Dever
Who should win (based on individual episodes): Coolidge or Dever
Who will win: I’m very torn, but I’ll bet on Coolidge over Dever.

Next up: Best Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

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