Friday, September 10, 2021

Emmy Winner Predictions: Best Guest Actor in a Drama Series

Nominees are listed in alphabetical order. Submitted episode titles are in parentheses. Beware of minor spoilers for listed episodes.

Don Cheadle as Colonel James Rhodes, The Falcon and the Winter Soldier (New World Order)
I barely remember Cheadle from the pilot episode of the Disney+ series that earned four other nominations, all in technical categories, and I don’t think I’m alone. His inclusion is likely due to the popularity of the MCU in general and the fact that, prior to this year, he was a ten-time nominee who has yet to win. Season three of “Black Monday” wasn’t yet eligible this Emmy season for him to earn his third consecutive bid, so consider this an opportunity for Cheadle to be a nominee even if a win is very far outside the realm of possibility.

Charles Dance as Lord Mountbatten, The Crown (Gold Stick)
This nomination is in part makeup for Dance being snubbed for season three, in which he was a recurring presence. Dance, who was also a fixture of the Emmy-beloved “Game of Thrones,” has three previous nominations, two as narrator for “Savage Kingdom” and one for “Bleak House” back in 2006. He’s a sentimental part of the season four premiere, and there’s a great degree of nostalgia to his role, so he would be an easy choice for an ultra-popular series.

Timothy Olyphant as Cobb Vanth, The Mandalorian (Chapter 9: The Marshal)
Olyphant was previously nominated for season two of “Justified” and for producing the “Deadwood” movie. He’s an absolute blast in a pitch-perfect role on the Disney Plus “Star Wars” series, showing up as a legitimate good guy who proves to be an unexpected ally for the title character. I would be absolutely ecstatic if he won since he’s so entertaining, but I’m not sure it’s going to happen.

Courtney B. Vance as George Freeman, Lovecraft Country (Whitey’s on the Moon)
Vance won an Emmy five years ago for “The People v. O.J. Simpson,” and now he’s back with his second nomination. For its first few episodes, Vance was an integral part of the HBO period horror series, and he’s clearly having fun with the role, providing dramatic guidance and comic relief. Next to costar Michael K. Williams, who sadly died this week, Vance is probably his show’s best shot at a major win. It would be hard to argue with him being deserving as a winner.

Carl Weathers as Greef Karga, The Mandalorian (Chapter 12: The Siege)
This is the first Emmy nomination for Weathers, who has been acting for nearly half a century. I’m a bit surprised to see him classified in this category since he feels like the closest thing to a series regular next to star Pedro Pascal, but I suppose he doesn’t appear in all the episodes. He’s a deeply endearing character, though it’s possible that sharing scenes and onscreen sentiment with Gina Carano might not be good for him. It would be a fitting tribute to his legacy of work, and his episode submission gives him some good material that I don’t think will be enough to propel him to a win.

Who should win (based on entire season): N/A
Who should win (based on individual episodes): Olyphant
Who will win: I think it’s ging to be Vance over Dance and Olyphant, but I’m not too sure.

Next up: Best Guest Actress in a Drama Series

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