Aidy Bryant as Various Characters, Saturday Night Live (Host: Regé Jean-Page)
This is Bryant’s second nomination for this role, her first since 2018, and her third overall after a music and lyrics bid back in 2014. She’s also nominated this year for her terrific performance in season three of Shrill this year. She has some great sketches in her submitted episode, and her dual nomination might mean that she has the buzz to win. It would be fun to see given how funny she can be, but I don’t think it’s going to happen.
Hannah Einbinder as Ava Daniels, Hacks (I Think She Will)
This is the first Emmy nomination for Einbinder, who is truly hilarious on her show and chose a great episode, the season finale, as her submission. The issue is that she’s really not a supporting actress and belongs in the leading race, so those upset about category fraud (if they exist within the TV academy) may not want to endorse her presence here. That said, she did tie with another Hannah, fellow nominee Waddingham, at the Hollywood Critics Association, which could indicate that quality is more important than quantity.
Kate McKinnon as Various Characters, Saturday Night Live (Host: Bill Burr)
This is the eighth consecutive nomination for McKinnon, who won twice, in 2016 and 2017. She’s a default nominee at this point, and though she’s done a great job of portraying figures like Rudy Giuliani this season, her submission doesn’t give her all that much to do. She’s still funny and so natural even when she’s challenging herself, but I don’t see this being the year she scores her third trophy.
Rosie Perez as Megan Briscoe, The Flight Attendant (Arrivals and Departures)
Perez previously received three Emmy nominations for choreography on “In Living Color” between 1990 and 1993. Now, she’s a first-time acting nominee for her terrific work on her very dark comedy. She chose the season finale as her submission, which helps to bring together her storyline in an interesting and unexpected way. She’s definitely the least inherently comedic choice, but a win for her would be a wonderful opportunity to acknowledge a talented actress and a show that isn’t likely to pick up any other major prizes.
Cecily Strong as Various Characters, Saturday Night Live (Host: Anya Taylor-Joy)
Strong earns her second consecutive Emmy nomination this year. I’ve enjoyed getting to watch her on “Schmigadoon,” which will be eligible next Emmy season, and my appreciation of her performance on that show has made me want her to win for this one. Her submitted episode is the last of nine that I watched this season, and also the finale. While she does have a great scene where she plays Judge Jeanine Pirro, she doesn’t get all that much else to do, so I’m not sure this is when she’s going to win, even if I do hope it happens in the future.
Juno Temple as Keeley Jones, Ted Lasso (For the Children)
This is the first nomination for Temple, who is an absolute pleasure to watch on her show. She chose a fantastic episode to submit, one that shows her exploring changing relationships with three different characters: Jamie, Roy, and Rebecca. The only trouble is that she’s nominated against her costar Waddingham, who to this point has won most of the prizes she’s contended for. A Temple win isn’t out of the question, but it’s much less likely than Waddingham.
Hannah Waddingham as Rebecca Welton, Ted Lasso (All Apologies)
This is Waddingham’s first Emmy nomination. She’s already won most of the awards she’s been up for, including the Critics Choice Association prize. She’s a strong presence on her show and does a great job with the material, and that’s absolutely true in the her submitted episode, where she deals with a long-kept secret and its impacts on her relationships. I think it’s a fantastic vehicle to catapult Waddingham to a win.
Who should win (based on entire season): Einbinder, Temple, or Waddingham
Who should win (based on individual episodes): Einbinder, Temple, or Waddingham
Who will win: I feel like Waddingham is far enough out in front, but it’s possible that any of these women could end up winning.
Next up: Best Lead Actor in a Limited Series or TV Movie
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