Thursday, April 1, 2021

SAG Winner Predictions: Best Male Actor in a Miniseries or Made-for-TV Movie

The competition: Bill Camp’s chess-loving janitor (The Queen’s Gambit), Daveed Diggs’ Marquis de Lafayette and Thomas Jefferson (Hamilton), Hugh Grant’s suspicious husband (The Undoing), Ethan Hawke’s passionate abolitionist (The Good Lord Bird), Mark Ruffalo’s twin brothers (I Know This Much Is True)

For your information: Hawke has two previous film nominations, for “Boyhood” and “Training Day,” as well as an ensemble bid for the former. Grant was nominated in this category two years ago for “A Very English Scandal” and in 2016 for “Florence Foster Jenkins,” along with an ensemble bid for “Sense and Sensibility” back in 1995. Ruffalo won this prize in 2014 for “The Normal Heart” and an ensemble award for “Spotlight” in 2015, in addition to earning both bids for “The Kids Are All Right” and a solo nomination for “Foxcatcher.” This is the first nomination for both Camp and Diggs. Five supporting actors have won this prize in this category’s twenty-six-year history. Ruffalo won the Emmy this past fall, though none of these men were in competition against him, and he defeated both Grant and Hawke at the Golden Globes.

Who should win? I only watched one episode of Hawke’s show. It’s hard to judge these very different performances. Ruffalo was indeed very good, as was Diggs in two roles in a filmed play, but I’d be so happy to see a minor but memorable performance like Camp’s recognized.

Who will win? Unless Diggs, who announced the nominations for this group, can surprise, I think Ruffalo wins without a problem.

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