Monday, September 17, 2012

Emmy Winner Predictions: Best Directing for a Drama Series

Nominees are pictured and listed in alphabetical order by show. Beware of minor spoilers for listed episodes.

Timothy Van Patten, Boardwalk Empire (To the Lost)
Vince Gilligan, Breaking Bad (Face Off)
Brian Percival, Downton Abbey (Episode 7)
Michael Cuesta, Homeland (Pilot)
Phil Abraham, Mad Men (The Other Woman)

This category tends to favor pilots and standout season finales. We have three of the latter and one of the former this year, as well as one episode of “Mad Men,” which, interestingly enough, has never won this particular award. Martin Scorsese triumphed for the pilot of “Boardwalk Empire” last year, but its lukewarm reception this year would suggest that it won’t win again for its second season finale, which is helmed by Timothy Van Patten, who has now been nominated six times in this category but never won. Vince Gilligan, creator of “Breaking Bad,” is back for the first time since his show’s pilot with what may just may be the show’s most memorable episode ever, the season four finale. Brian Percival won the miniseries directing award last year for the first episode of “Downton Abbey,” and now he’s back with the equally acclaimed double-decker Christmas special. This is Michael Cuesta’s first nomination, while Phil Abraham earned his second nomination in this category (he won the cinematography prize for the show’s pilot).

What should win: “Homeland,” hands down
What will win: This is a competitive category. Take “Boardwalk Empire” and “Mad Men” out of the running. “Breaking Bad” and “Downton Abbey” will garner votes but will likely be rewarded elsewhere, which makes “Homeland” the uncertain frontrunner.

Next up: Best Writing for a Drama Series

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