Tuesday, September 18, 2012

Emmy Winner Predictions: Best Writing for a Drama Series

Nominees are pictured and listed in alphabetical order by show. Beware of minor spoilers for listed episodes.

Julian Fellowes, Downton Abbey (Episode 7)
Alex Gansa, Howard Gordon, Gideon Raff, Homeland (Pilot)
André Jacquemetton, Maria Jacquemetton, Mad Men (Commissions and Fees)
Semi Chellas, Matthew Weiner, Mad Men (Far Away Places)
Semi Chellas, Matthew Weiner, Mad Men (The Other Woman)

The only show that beat “Mad Men,” which has had between two and three nominations in this category each year since it started, is “Friday Night Lights,” which is no longer on the air. When it aired, “The Sopranos” won six times out of seven eligible seasons. That doesn’t bode well for the two series competing against “Mad Men,” but they’re both pretty formidable. Julian Fellowes won the miniseries writing award last year, and now he’s back with his second nomination for the Christmas special. Alex Gansa and Howard Gordon have a handful of producing nominations between them, but, along with first-time nominee Gideon Raff, this is their first writing nomination. AndrĂ© and Maria Jacquemetton have been nominated twice before for penning “Mad Men” episodes. Semi Chellas is an Emmy newbie, while Matthew Weiner is a kingpin in this category, boasting three wins and an additional eight nominations before this year.

What should win: “Homeland”
What will win: It could be any of them, but I think this is where “Downton Abbey” triumphs.

Next up: Best Directing for a Comedy Series

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