Thursday, July 11, 2013

Emmy Predictions: Best Lead Actor in a Drama Series

The 65th Primetime Emmy Awards nominations will be announced on Thursday, July 18th. Please refer to my Emmy musings for this category for a detailed analysis of the contenders, and, as always, chime in below in the comments with any thoughts of your own.

Last year’s nominees: Hugh Bonneville, Steve Buscemi, Bryan Cranston, Michael C. Hall, Jon Hamm, Damian Lewis

The competition: Let’s start with this category’s biggest sure thing: three-time winner Bryan Cranston (Breaking Bad), whose show, which will end right around the time the Emmy Awards air this year, is still immensely popular. Some viewers weren’t as enthusiastic about the latest seasons of three other shows in this category, but their stars, Damian Lewis (Homeland), Jon Hamm (Mad Men), and Steve Buscemi (Boardwalk Empire) still have their fans and should make the cut. I don’t think Michael C. Hall (Dexter) will be so fortunate, but most expected him to be snubbed last year, so it’s possible he’ll return again. Hugh Bonneville (Downton Abbey) is likely out because voters won’t be quite as gung-ho about the hit British series this year as they were last year (though it’s always possible they will!). That opens up the category for two new TV faces with plenty of awards experience: Jeff Daniels (The Newsroom) and Kevin Spacey (House of Cards), whose biggest hurdles are the fact that some are really put off by Daniels’ show and that Spacey’s show airs on Netflix. If they can’t overcome those challenges, watch out for a new series star like Matthew Rhys (The Americans), Aden Young (Rectify), or Jonny Lee Miller (Elementary). I’d love to say that Timothy Olyphant (Justified) might have a shot at a nomination after being snubbed last year, but I doubt it.

The predicted nominees: Steve Buscemi, Bryan Cranston, Jeff Daniels, Jon Hamm, Damian Lewis, Kevin Spacey

The predicted winner: Spacey

Next up: Best Lead Actress in a Drama Series

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