Wednesday, January 27, 2016

SAG Winner Predictions: Best Female Actor in a Drama Series

The competition: Claire Danes’ eccentric CIA agent (Homeland), Viola Davis’ fearsome legal educator (How to Get Away with Murder), Julianna Margulies’ maternal lawyer (The Good Wife), Maggie Smith’s wise-cracking countess (Downton Abbey), and Robin Wright’s cutthroat political wife (House of Cards).

For your information: In a terribly boring statistic, all five of these women were nominated last year, and Davis won on her first TV nomination. She won in 2011 for “The Help” and was previously nominated for “Doubt” on the film side. Smith won this award in 2013. This is her fifth nomination for this role and sixth overall. This is Wright’s second nomination for this role and her fifth overall. This is Margulies’ sixth nomination for this role and her ninth overall. She won twice for “The Good Wife” and twice for “ER.” This is Danes’ fourth consecutive nomination for this role and her fifth overall. She won once for “Homeland” and once for “Temple Grandin.” Danes, Smith, and Wright are also nominated as part of their shows’ ensembles. Margulies was the last and only person in the past 15 years to win this award two years in a row.

Who should win: At this point in their runs, I’d pick Smith or Wright

Who will win: I don’t think that Davis will repeat, so the category is open. While it would be nice to spread the wealth and have Wright pick up her first trophy, I suspect it will go to Margulies again.

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