Golden Globe Predictions: Best Actor in a TV Series - Drama

I’ve been predicting the Golden Globe nominations for more than fifteen years, and even if the group doesn’t have the same industry relevance as in the past, it’s still helpful and fun to see what shows and performances get honored. Here’s my assessment of the contenders in this category.

Last year’s nominees:
Brian Cox (Succession)
Lee Jung-jae (Squid Game)
Billy Porter (Pose)
Omar Sy (Lupin)
Jeremy Strong (Succession)

None of last year’s nominees will return this year. Two men were last nominated the time they were eligible and could be running for the final time this year: Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul) and Jason Bateman (Ozark). Only two other actors are also eligible this time around, but both were only nominated once, in 2017: Sterling K. Brown (This Is Us) and Freddie Highmore (The Good Doctor). Expect an Emmy nominee, Adam Scott (Severance), to join the lineup, along with Dominic West (The Crown) and Paddy Considine (House of the Dragon). I’m still not seeing Kevin Costner (Yellowstone) and his show surging, but everyone else seems to think they will. The same could be true for Antony Starr (The Boys) and Karl Urban (The Boys), but that show’s awards rollout has also been lackluster. There are a handful of new contenders, including Diego Luna (Andor), Jeff Bridges (The Old Man), Sylvester Stallone (Tulsa King), and Morgan Spector (The Gilded Age).

Current predictions:
Jason Bateman (Ozark)
Paddy Considine (House of the Dragon)
Bob Odenkirk (Better Call Saul)
Adam Scott (Severance)
Dominic West (The Crown)