Wednesday, July 18, 2012

Final Emmy Predictions

Tomorrow morning, the nominations for the 64th Primetime Emmy Awards will be announced. I've made detailed predictions in the top eighteen categories, and offered my best blind guesses for the Miniseries/TV Movie and variety categories below as well. If I had to pick one nominee above all to root for, it would be Neal McDonough from “Justified,” though of course I’m also pulling for Nick Offerman to finally get recognized for “Parks and Recreation.” As always, I’m hoping for a handful of good surprises. Click on category headings below for full analysis in each race. I'm looking forward to the nominations, and you can expect analysis and reactions by category all day. Nominations will be announced at 5:40am by Kerry Washington and Nick Offerman. Please offer your own predictions and thoughts in the comments below.

BEST DRAMA SERIES
Boardwalk Empire
Breaking Bad
Downton Abbey
Game of Thrones
Homeland
Mad Men

BEST DRAMA LEAD ACTOR
Steve Buscemi (Boardwalk Empire)
Bryan Cranston (Breaking Bad)
Kelsey Grammer (Boss)
Jon Hamm (Mad Men)
Damian Lewis (Homeland)
Timothy Olyphant (Justified)

BEST DRAMA LEAD ACTRESS
Glenn Close (Damages)
Claire Danes (Homeland)
Mariska Hargitay (Law & Order: Special Victims Unit)
Julianna Margulies (The Good Wife)
Elisabeth Moss (Mad Men)
Jessica Paré (Mad Men)

BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTOR
Peter Dinklage (Game of Thrones)
Giancarlo Esposito (Breaking Bad)
Neal McDonough (Justified)
Mandy Patinkin (Homeland)
Aaron Paul (Breaking Bad)
John Slattery (Mad Men)

BEST DRAMA SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Christine Baranski The Good Wife)
Christina Hendricks (Mad Men)
January Jones (Mad Men)
Kelly Macdonald (Boardwalk Empire)
Archie Panjabi (The Good Wife)
Maggie Smith (Downton Abbey)

BEST COMEDY SERIES
The Big Bang Theory
Curb Your Enthusiasm
Modern Family
New Girl
Parks and Recreation
30 Rock

BEST COMEDY LEAD ACTOR
Alec Baldwin (30 Rock)
Don Cheadle (House of Lies)
Louis C.K. (Louie)
Larry David (Curb Your Enthusiasm)
Johnny Galecki (The Big Bang Theory)
Jim Parsons (The Big Bang Theory)

BEST COMEDY LEAD ACTRESS
Laura Dern (Enlightened)
Zooey Deschanel (New Girl)
Lena Dunham (Girls)
Tina Fey (30 Rock)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus (Veep)
Amy Poehler (Parks and Recreation)

BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ty Burrell (Modern Family)
Jesse Tyler Ferguson (Modern Family)
Max Greenfield (New Girl)
Ed O'Neill (Modern Family)
Nick Offerman (Parks and Recreation)
Eric Stonestreet (Modern Family)

BEST COMEDY SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Julie Bowen (Modern Family)
Kathryn Joosten (Desperate Housewives)
Cloris Leachman (Raising Hope)
Sofia Vergara (Modern Family)
Betty White (Hot in Cleveland)
Kristen Wiig (Saturday Night Live)

BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTOR
Jeremy Davies (Justified)
Michael J. Fox (The Good Wife)
Chris Messina (Damages)
Robert Morse (Mad Men)
Matthew Perry (The Good Wife)
Mykelti Williamson (Justified)

BEST DRAMA GUEST ACTRESS
Joan Cusack (Shameless)
Loretta Devine (Grey’s Anatomy)
Jenna Elfman (Shameless)
Louise Fletcher (Shameless)
Julia Ormond (Mad Men)
Uma Thurman (Smash)

BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTOR
Alan Alda (The Big C)
Matthew Bomer (Glee)
Jimmy Fallon (Saturday Night Live)
Michael J. Fox (Curb Your Enthusiasm)
Victor Garber (The Big C)
Paul Rudd (Parks and Recreation)

BEST COMEDY GUEST ACTRESS
Ellen Barkin (Modern Family)
Patricia Clarkson (Parks and Recreation)
Kathryn Hahn (Parks and Recreation)
Melissa McCarthy (Saturday Night Live)
Susan Sarandon (The Big C)
Mary Steenburgen (30 Rock)

BEST DRAMA DIRECTING
Georgia Peaches (Boardwalk Empire)
Salud (Breaking Bad)
Blackwater (Game of Thrones)
Pilot (Homeland)
Commissions and Fees (Mad Men)

BEST DRAMA WRITING
Pilot (Boss)
Pilot (Homeland)
The Weekend (Homeland)
Commissions and Fees (Mad Men)
Far Away Places (Mad Men)

BEST COMEDY DIRECTING
Palestinian Chicken (Curb Your Enthusiasm)
Pilot (Enlightened)
After the Fire (Modern Family)
Virgin Territory (Modern Family)
Live from Studio 6H (30 Rock)

BEST COMEDY WRITING
Pilot (Girls)
Pregnant (Louie)
Aunt Mommy (Modern Family)
Kidnapped by Danger (30 Rock)
Tears (Veep)

BEST MINISERIES/TV MOVIE LEAD ACTOR
Kevin Costner (Hatfields and McCoys)
Benedict Cumberbatch (Sherlock: Scandal in Belgravia)
Idris Elba (Luther)
Woody Harrelson (Game Change)
Clive Owen (Hemingway and Gellhorn)

BEST MINISERIES/TV MOVIE LEAD ACTRESS
Connie Britton (American Horror Story)
Nicole Kidman (Hemingway and Gellhorn)
Julianne Moore (Game Change)
Emily Watson (Appropriate Adult)
Rachel Weisz (Page Eight)

BEST MINISERIES/TV MOVIE SUPPORTING ACTOR
Ralph Fiennes (Page Eight)
Michael Gambon (Game Change)
Ed Harris (Game Change)
Denis O’Hare (American Horror Story)
David Strathairn (Hemingway and Gellhorn)

BEST MINISERIES/TV MOVIE SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Gillian Anderson (Great Expectations)
Frances Conroy (American Horror Story)
Judy Davis (Page Eight)
Jessica Lange (American Horror Story)
Sarah Paulson (Game Change)

BEST MINISERIES/TV MOVIE DIRECTING
American Horror Story (Birth)
American Horror Story (Part 1)
Game Change
Girl Fight
Hatfields and McCoys

BEST MINISERIES/TV MOVIE WRITING
American Horror Story (Part 1)
Game Change
Hemingway and Gellhorn
Luther
Page Eight

BEST MINISERIES/TV MOVIE
American Horror Story
Game Change
Great Expectations
Hatfields and McCoys
Hemingway and Gellhorn
Sherlock: Scandal in Belgravia

BEST REALITY COMPETITION SERIES
The Amazing Race
American Idol
Project Runway
So You Think You Can Dance
Top Chef
The Voice

BEST REALITY HOST
Tom Bergeron (Dancing with the Stars)
Cat Deeley (So You Think You Can Dance)
Phil Keoghan (The Amazing Race)
Jeff Probst (Survivor)
Ryan Seacrest (American Idol)

BEST VARIETY SERIES
The Colbert Report
Conan
The Daily Show with Jon Stewart
Jimmy Kimmel Live
Late Night with Jimmy Fallon
Saturday Night Live

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